Real-time prediction of GREEN electricity generation potential from renewables for optimised GRID management

Project Description

Ireland has committed to completely decarbonising its energy grid by 2050, basing power generation capacity on renewable resources such as wind and solar, and making accelerated progress towards that aim by 2030 in order to meet climate and energy security goals. These are highly variable and intermittent energy sources that pose challenges to energy grid management. Through extensive stakeholder engagement this project will develop state-of-the-art modelling tools for estimation of the power generation capacity of renewables, optimising grid preparedness for bringing additional renewable energy generation capacity on stream. We propose a radical approach: new wind energy maps will assist in optimising the placement of turbines for onshore wind, reducing installation lead times and feasibility costs, and accelerating installation. The impact of widespread intermittent residential solar on the grid at a fine temporal resolution will be comprehensively modelled for the first time and combined with wind energy production estimates to calculate renewable generation potential on short time-scales. The complementary transdisciplinary expertise in energy forecasting and spatio-temporal statistical modelling of the highly motivated and experienced applicant team, as well as their strong records of leading successful interdisciplinary projects, ensures that the likelihood of project goals and timelines being achieved are extremely high.